Main Article Content
Abstract
IKN is expected to become a sustainable city that will drive the country's economy in Indonesia in the future. This research analyses the correlation amidst foreign direct investment, inflation, and environmental degradation with economic growth in IKN. Therefore, this study aims to examine all variables that affect the economic growth of IKN. Thus, this study provides implications for regulators and policymakers on how to optimize IKN's economic growth in a sustainable manner. This analysis utilizes time series data collected from 38 provinces in Indonesia from 2018 to 2022. Secondary data obtained from the websites of the World Bank, BPS, and OECD is utilized in this study. Data testing uses a data panel regression analysis model with Eviews 10 software. The results of this study indicate that Foreign Direct Investment and inflation have a significant positive effect on economic development. Conversely, the environmental degradation has a significant negative impact on economic growth. The findings of this study confirm that economic growth can be enhanced through increasing FDI inflows, maintaining a stable inflation rate, and environmental degradation at a certain level, which can stimulate economic growth. Therefore, all variables in this study contribute to economic growth.
Keywords
Article Details
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
References
- Abdillah, K., Handoyo, R. D., & Wasiaturrahma, W. (2020). The Effect of Control Corruption, Political Stability, Macroeconomic Variables on Asian Economic Growth. Ekuilibrium : Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi, 15(2), 161. https://doi.org/10.24269/ekuilibrium.v15i2.2678
- Akpan, E. S., & Eweke, G. O. (2017). Foreign Direct Investment and Industrial Sector Performance : Assessing the Long-Run Implication on Economic Growth in Nigeria. Journal of Mathematical Finance, 7, 391–411. https://doi.org/10.4236/jmf.2017.72021
- Alfaro, L. (2017). MULTINATIONAL ACTIVITY IN EMERGING MARKETS : HOW AND WHEN DOES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT PROMOTE GROWTH ? Geography, Location, and Strategy Advances in Strategic Management, 36, 429–462. https://doi.org/10.1108/S0742-332220170000036012
- Ariyani, A. D., & Firmansyah. (2023). Determining factors of foreign direct investment in Emerging Market Asia : A panel data analysis ( 2005-. OPTIMUM: Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Pembangunan, 13(2), 195–206. https://doi.org/https://dx.doi.org/10.12928/optimum.v13i2.8535
- Aye, G. C., & Edoja, P. E. (2017). Effect of economic growth on CO2 emission in developing countries: Evidence from a dynamic panel threshold model. Cogent Economics and Finance, 5(1), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2017.1379239
- BPS. (2024a). Perkembangan Indeks Harga Konsumen Desember 2023. Berita Resmi Statistik, 23, 1–16. https://www.bps.go.id/id/pressrelease/2024/04/01/2302/inflasi-year-on-year--y-on-y--maret-2024-sebesar-3-05-persen.html
- BPS. (2024b). Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Triwulan IV-2023. Berita Resmi Statistik, 1–16. https://www.bps.go.id/
- Budiman, J., & Arifin, S. (2024). HUBUNGAN EKSPOR, IMPOR, INFLASI, DAN JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA DENGAN NILAI TUKAR SEBAGAI MEDIASI. PERFORMANCE : Jurnal Bisnis & Akuntansi, 14(1), 159–173.
- Cantika, A., & Anggoro, P. (2022). Effect of Exports, Imports of Oil and Gas Products, Inflation, on Economic Growth. Cashflow : Current Advanced Research on Sharia Finance and Economic Worldwide, 2(1), 148–163. https://doi.org/10.55047/cashflow.v2i1.436
- Chamdani, M., & Meirinaldi, M. (2022). The Effect of Exports, Imports, Government Expenditures and Inflation on Economic Growth (Case Study in Banten Province 2010-2021). ICLSSEE. https://doi.org/10.4108/eai.16-4-2022.2320108
- Chen, X., & Liang, X. (2021). Foreign direct investment and environmental pollution: A fiscal decentralization perspective. Chinese Journal of Population Resources and Environment, 19(1), 34–40. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cjpre.2021.12.004
- Dinh, T. T. H., Vo, D. H., The Vo, A., & Nguyen, T. C. (2019). Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in the Short Run and Long Run: Empirical Evidence from Developing Countries. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 12(4), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm12040176
- Do, H. T. (2023). The Impact of FDI on Economic Growth in ASEAN Countries in The Period 2011-2021 Hai. International Journal of Advanced Research in Economics and Finance, 5(4), 43–49. https://doi.org/: https://doi.org/10.55057/ijaref.2023.5.4.4
- Emako, E., Nuru, S., & Menza, M. (2022). The effect of foreign direct investment on economic growth in developing countries. Transnational Corporations Review, 14(4), 382–401. https://doi.org/10.1080/19186444.2022.2146967
- Fajrian, M. A., Achsani, N. A., & Widyastutik, W. (2023). Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Abundance of Natural Resources, and Economic Growth. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(1), 11–26. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i1.29975
- Fiona, & Laulita, N. B. (2023). The Effect of Inflation, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate, Corruption Perception Index, and Trade Openness on Foreign Direct Investment in 6 Asean Countries. Journal of Business Studies and Mangement Review, 7(1), 58–65. https://doi.org/10.22437/jbsmr.v7i1.28265
- Foreign direct investment, net inflows (% of GDP) - Indonesia. (2023). World Bank. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/BX.KLT.DINV.WD.GD.ZS?locations=ID
- Galvan, L. P. C., Bhatti, U. A., Campo, C. C., & Trujillo, R. A. S. (2022). The Nexus Between CO2 Emission, Economic Growth, Trade Openness: Evidences From Middle-Income Trap Countries. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 10(July), 1–16. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2022.938776
- Ghozali, I. (2018). Aplikasi Analisis Multivariate Dengan Program IBM SPSS 25: Edisi 9. Badan Penerbit: UNDIP.
- Girdzijauskas, S., Streimikiene, D., Griesiene, I., Mikalauskiene, A., & Kyriakopoulos, G. L. (2022). New Approach to Inflation Phenomena to Ensure Sustainable Economic Growth. Sustainability (Switzerland), 14(1), 1–21. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14010518
- Gokkon, B. (2023). Mencermati IKN dan Potensi Degradasi Lingkungan yang Dapat Meluas di Kalimantan. MOBGABAY: Situs Berita Lingkungan. https://www.mongabay.co.id/2023/04/29/mencermati-ikn-dan-potensi-degradasi-lingkungan-yang-dapat-meluas-di-kalimantan/
- Hajdini, A., Collaku, L., & Merovci, S. (2023). EFFECT OF CORRUPTION ON FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT INFLOWS IN COUNTRIES OF THE WESTERN BALKANS. Journal of Liberty and International Affairs, 9(1), 130–143. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.47305/JLIA2391131h
- Husnain, M. A., Guo, P., Pan, G., & Manjang, M. (2024). Unveiling the Interplay of Institutional Quality , Foreign Direct Investment , Inflation and Domestic Investment on Economic Growth : Empirical Evidence for Latin America. 14(1), 85–94. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.15580
- Ingham, H., Read, R., & Elkomy, S. (2020). Aggregate and heterogeneous sectoral growth effects of foreign direct investment in Egypt. Review of Development Economics, 24(4), 1511–1528. https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12698
- Jan, M. S., & Ali, S. (2023). Impact of Corruption on Foreign Direct Investment Inflow to Asian Countries : GMM Analysis. VIII(I), 327–340. https://doi.org/10.31703/ger.2023(VIII-I).27
- Kunthi, Y. C., Mandai, S., & Sofyan, S. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh Inflasi, Indeks Harga Konsumen, Jub, Dan Kurs Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Pada Tahun 2013 - 2021. Jurnal Ekonomi Trisakti, 3(1), 303–310. https://doi.org/10.25105/jet.v3i1.15409
- Le-Van, C., & Tran-Nam, B. (2023). Comparing the Harrod-Domar, Solow and Ramsey growth models and their implications for economic policies. Fulbright Review of Economics and Policy, 3(2), 167–183. https://doi.org/10.1108/frep-06-2023-0022
- Mahendra, A., Pramita, E. H., Jannah, S. R., Zahara, D., & Gulo, S. R. (2024). Analisis Pengaruh Inflasi dan Nilai Tukar Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Dengan Penerimaan Pajak Sebagai Variabel Moderating Di Indonesia. Jesya: Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan & Bisnis Syariah, 7(1), 336–347. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/ 10.36778/jesya.v7i1.1462
- Manurung, M. S., & Yuniasih, A. F. (2021). Estimation of Inflation Threshold of Indonesia and Its Effect on Economic Growth Periode 1981-2019. The 1st Internasional Conference On Data Science and Official Statistic., 683–690.
- Miao, M., Borojo, D. G., Yushi, J., & Desalegn, T. A. (2021). The impacts of Chinese FDI on domestic investment and economic growth for Africa. Cogent Business and Management, 8(1), 1–28. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2021.1886472
- Mohamed, M. M. (2017). The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth in Somalia. SSRG International Journal of Economics and Management Studies, 4(8), 24–31. www.internationaljournalssrg.org
- Munawaroh, A., Ridhoi, R., & Rudiman. (2024). SENTIMENT ANALYSIS DENGAN NAÏVE BAYES BERBASIS ORANGE TERHADAP RESIKO PEMBANGUNAN IKN. 8(1), 587–592.
- Oyegoke, E. O., & Aras, O. N. (2020). Impact of foreign direct investment on economic growth in Nigeria. Journal of Management, Economics, and Industrial Organization, 5(1), 31–38. https://doi.org/http://doi.org/10.31039/jomeino.2021.5.1.2
- Prawoto, N., & Basuki, A. T. (2016). MODEL ANALISIS KOMPOSISI PENGELUARAN PUBLIK TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DALAM MENDUKUNG GOOD GOVERNANCE : STUDI EMPIRIS KABUPATEN KOTA DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2011- 2014. Buletin Ekonomi, 14(2), 101–128.
- Rahmawati, A., Lutfiani, L., Yunia, Z. R., Rofiqoh, I., Zahrok, F. F., & Wahyuningtyas, D. (2021). Dampak Pandemic Covid- 19 Terhadap Indeks Pembangunan Ekonomi Inklusif Jawa Timur Indikator Tingkat Kemiskinan Dan Ketimpangan. Efektor, 8(1), 79–88. https://doi.org/10.29407/e.v8i1.15708
- Saidi, K., & Hammami, S. (2016). Economic growth, energy consumption and carbone dioxide emissions: Recent evidence from panel data analysis for 58 countries. Quality and Quantity, 50(1), 361–383. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-014-0153-1
- Saidi, Y., & Ochi, A. (2023). Estimating relationships among foreign direct investment, governance quality, and economic growth in developing countries using the threshold auto-regressive model. Regional Science Policy and Practice, 15(2), 403–424. https://doi.org/10.1111/rsp3.12654
- Seetanah, B., Sannassee, R. V., Fauzel, S., Soobaruth, Y., Giudici, G., & Nguyen, A. P. H. (2019). Impact of Economic and Financial Development on Environmental Degradation: Evidence from Small Island Developing States (SIDS). Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 55(2), 308–322. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2018.1519696
- Shaari, M. S., Esquivias, M. A., Ridzuan, A. R., Fadzilah Zainal, N., & Sugiharti, L. (2022). The impacts of corruption and environmental degradation on foreign direct investment: new evidence from the ASEAN+3 countries. Cogent Economics and Finance, 10(1), 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2022.2124734
- Siaran Pers, O. (2023). Selama 2023, Investasi IKN Capai Rp41,4 Triliun. Otorita IKN. https://www.ikn.go.id/selama-2023-investasi-ikn-capai-rp414-triliun
- Silvia, M., Astuti, W., & Rahmawati, D. (2021). Analisis Pengaruh Investasi Langsung Asing dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Terhadap Degradasi Lingkungan di Negara ASEAN Berpendapatan Menengah. Prosiding Seminar Nasional Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Tidar 2021 “Geliat Investasi Dalam Pusaran Pandemi: Membaca Celah Pemulihan Ekonomi Nasional Di Era New Normal,” 25–32.
- Smith, S. (2021). Impact of Inflation on the Growth of Indian Economy Economy. Global Journal of HUMAN-SOCIAL SCIENCE: E Economics, 21(2), 0–4.
- Srivastava, A. K., Gupta, H., Shyam, H. S., & Gupta, M. (2023). The linkage between inflation and economic growth : Evidence from India. Journal of Information & Optimization Sciences, 44(1), 25–40. https://doi.org/10.47974/jios-1293
- Sugiarto, E. C. (2019). Investasi dan Indonesia Maju. Kementerian Sekertariat Negara Republik Indonesia. https://www.setneg.go.id/baca/index/investasi_dan_indonesia_maju
- Van, L. T. H., Vo, D. H., Vu, N. T., Ho, C. M., & Nguyen, T. C. (2024). From foreign direct investment to environmental regulations: Does a feedback effect ever exist? Heliyon, 10(8). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e28657
- Warsame, A. A., Mohamed, J., & Sarkodie, S. A. (2024). Natural disasters, deforestation, and emissions affect economic growth in Somalia. Heliyon, 10(6), e28214. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e28214